Weather Cancellation / Higgies Ride

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Anonymous's picture


The ""hourly weather graph"" predictions at for Middletown, Higganum, New Haven, CT are all pretty dismal through tomorrow evening. At this weather site, anything above 85% for several consecutive hours has been a cert for some rain so far this year & the predicted accumulation in inches at the bottom of the graph is also a fairly significant number (90% chance of 0.02-0.05 inches usually does not mess up a bike ride, but 90% of an inch or more over time is a bit messy).

30% or below has meant it probably won't rain, but you might feel a few drops; there have been several nice, completely or mostly rain-free rides this year with 20% or 30% precipitation probability.

50%'s for Saturday early in the week (eg Wednesday) have sometimes diminished to 20% by Friday, but usually by Friday night Saturday's predictions don't change much. [One week it went from 50% for Sat (on Wed) to 40% for Sat (on Thu) to 25% for Sat (on Fri) ]

Bottom line: It's 9pm Friday night, and the pptn prob is above 85% for all of Saturday during the day and doesn't fall to 50% until after Sunday at midnight. Let us woefully cancel."

Anonymous's picture
art (not verified)
huh? (nm)
Anonymous's picture
Jonathan Friedman (not verified)

Woke up this AM and they changed the predix. Oh well. Roads still a bit slick.

cycling trips