"jmfriedman7-at-hotmail-dot-com
The ""hourly weather graph"" predictions at www.weather.gov for Middletown, Higganum, New Haven, CT are all pretty dismal through tomorrow evening. At this weather site, anything above 85% for several consecutive hours has been a cert for some rain so far this year & the predicted accumulation in inches at the bottom of the graph is also a fairly significant number (90% chance of 0.02-0.05 inches usually does not mess up a bike ride, but 90% of an inch or more over time is a bit messy).
30% or below has meant it probably won't rain, but you might feel a few drops; there have been several nice, completely or mostly rain-free rides this year with 20% or 30% precipitation probability.
50%'s for Saturday early in the week (eg Wednesday) have sometimes diminished to 20% by Friday, but usually by Friday night Saturday's predictions don't change much. [One week it went from 50% for Sat (on Wed) to 40% for Sat (on Thu) to 25% for Sat (on Fri) ]
Bottom line: It's 9pm Friday night, and the pptn prob is above 85% for all of Saturday during the day and doesn't fall to 50% until after Sunday at midnight. Let us woefully cancel."
Weather Cancellation / Higgies Ride
Fri, 06/02/2006 - 6:10pm
Fri, 06/02/2006 - 7:30pm
#1
huh? (nm)
Sat, 06/03/2006 - 8:29am
#2
Woke up this AM and they changed the predix. Oh well. Roads still a bit slick.